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Updating customs union with EU ‘not choice but necessity’: Minister

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Updating the decades-long customs union with the European Union is not a choice but a necessity, a top economy official said Tuesday, renewing the call for the modernization of the pact.

Trade Minister Ömer Bolat, alongside Maros Sefcovic, the EU’s commissioner for Trade and Economic Security, addressed the Türkiye-EU High-Level Trade Dialogue meeting held in Ankara.

Bolat stressed that Türkiye has become a production hub near Europe with its qualified workforce, dynamic production capabilities and advanced financial system, successfully integrating into global supply chains.

“In terms of the security and resilience of global supply chains, Türkiye is a strategic partner for Europe. Our geostrategic position and production capabilities offer vital support in reducing the EU’s dependency on foreign sources for critical products,” he said.

“Despite all these advantages, the current structure of the Türkiye-EU Customs Union does not fully align with today’s trade dynamics, and both sides agree on this point,” he added.

“Updating the customs union within the framework of digitalization, trade in services, sustainable development and next-generation trade policies presents a key opportunity for advancing our relations,” the minister was quoted by Anadolu Agency (AA) as saying.

“The consensus we’ve reached with the European Commission and the technical progress made should not be disregarded by the council. Updating the customs union is not a choice but a necessity; it is a process in which both parties will benefit,” Bolat furthered.

“We cannot manage the trade of 2025 with rules established 30 years ago.”

The EU is Türkiye’s key trading partner and is the only non-EU country that has a customs union deal with the bloc. The agreement was struck in 1995.

Speaking at the news conference following the meeting, Bolat said the dialogue added strategic depth to Türkiye-EU economic relations and helped create a new, positive agenda.

He recalled that a meeting was held in June in Paris between delegations, including himself and Sefcovic, and that in December 2024, a meeting took place between President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen.

“In today’s meeting, we made significant progress on overcoming trade barriers, having electronically issued A.TR certificates accepted by the EU, cooperation with the EU on Türkiye’s TAREKS and inspection regulations, and deepening our cooperation in green and digital transformation,” he stated.

“The strengthening of our joint value chains and our potential to progress together in these areas will guide our future work,” he added.

Bolat also noted that the customs union has made a significant contribution to improving Türkiye’s industrial infrastructure and enhancing the competitiveness of Turkish products in global markets.

Earlier this year, in April, the duo also held the first Türkiye-EU High-Level Economic Dialogue in six years.

Visa liberalization

On the question of visa liberalization, Bolat stated that concrete steps are expected from both member states and EU institutions.

“Until full visa liberalization is granted for our citizens through agreements, we urgently request, at the very least, facilitated applications, long-term and multiple-entry visas for businesspeople, transporters, technical experts, drivers, academics, university students and NGO leaders, and for human resources and technical equipment to be strengthened in the diplomatic missions of member countries,” he noted.

The Turkish business community has been increasingly exasperated by the bureaucratic hurdles involved in securing Schengen visas, a system that was once considered routine but has now become an obstacle for many.

Lengthy processing times and a growing number of EU visa rejections in recent years turned into a row that has been straining relations between Ankara and the bloc.

“In addition, lifting transit passage quotas for our transporters in mutual trade has become a necessity for our shared economic interests,” he said.

Moreover, he suggested that substantial work is being done by EU institutions and member states on visa facilitation, saying: “They said that visa processes will be expanded, a new threshold system will be introduced, and a more streamlined process will be ensured. A concrete plan will be announced and implemented soon.”

“We see this as a significant step forward. However, our main expectation is the full implementation of visa liberalization for all Turkish citizens in all member states, as agreed in relevant accords, in the short term,” he also said.

Deepening trade ‘shared priority’

At the same time, he pointed out that during this turbulent period globally, Türkiye-EU cooperation has become even more critical, given that they are each other’s top trade and investment partners.

He underlined that with its infrastructure, technology, engineering, manufacturing capabilities and human resources, Türkiye is an essential partner to help Europe achieve its industrial, defense and innovation goals.

“Since the customs union came into effect on Jan. 1, 1996, our exports to the EU have increased tenfold, making Türkiye the EU’s fifth-largest trade partner. The EU remains Türkiye’s number one trade partner. Türkiye is a significant production and supply base for the EU,” he furthered.

“About 70% of investments coming to Türkiye are from European countries, and these foreign investments generate $70 billion (TL 2.79 trillion) in export revenues annually. With today’s meeting, we reaffirmed that deepening our bilateral trade and economic relations is a shared priority,” he concluded.

Sefcovic, for his part, also stated that it is encouraging that EU-Türkiye trade relations are getting stronger.

Emphasizing that the partnership has been ongoing for a long time, he said: “Bilateral trade between the EU and Türkiye is expected to reach 210 billion euros ($247.87 billion) this year. This shows the potential for deeper, more extensive cooperation,” he said.

“As a customs union partner and EU candidate country, Türkiye plays a key role in our shared economic future. The EU is Türkiye’s biggest trade and investment partner. We are determined to strengthen this relationship further.”



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Economy

Türkiye secures $650M to strengthen Istanbul’s disaster resilience

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Earthquake-prone Türkiye, which is particularly vulnerable to seismic activity, has secured new financial resources to boost the emergency preparedness and response capacities of its largest city through a project dubbed “Istanbul Resilience Project.”

The World Bank said recently it had approved a $650 million loan to support the project, describing it as “a critical investment to strengthen the city’s emergency preparedness and response capacities for disasters and climate risks.”

Focused on protecting lives, livelihoods and economic activity in Türkiye’s largest city, the project aims to improve Istanbul’s resilience, the World Bank said in a statement.

Istanbul, which sits on the North Anatolian Fault (NAF), spanning Türkiye and bordering Europe, is at significant risk of earthquake. Seismologists and experts have consistently warned that a major quake is likely to strike the region within the coming decades.

Earlier this year, a strong 6.2 magnitude earthquake shook the city, marking one of the strongest quakes to strike the metropolis in recent years.

With Istanbul generating nearly one-third of the country’s gross domestic product (GDP) and being home to over 15 million people, the city’s vulnerability to earthquakes and climate shocks poses risks not only to its population but also to the national economy, the lender recalled in its statement.

“The project will help ensure that key public services can function during and after disasters, protect communities, and preserve economic continuity in the event of a major emergency,” it added.

“This project is vital to safeguard Istanbul’s people and economy. By strengthening emergency preparedness, modernizing public infrastructure, and supporting community resilience, Türkiye is building a safer future for one of its most strategic provinces,” said Humberto Lopez, World Bank country director for Türkiye.

Also commenting related to the financing, Treasury and Finance Minister Mehmet Şimşek, said that the support for earthquake preparedness, disaster management, and urban resilience investments continues.

“We have secured $650 million in financing from the World Bank to enhance Istanbul’s resilience against disasters and climate risks,” the minister said in a post on X on Saturday.

“For this purpose, the total amount of favorably conditioned external funding provided for Istanbul has reached $5.4 billion,” he added.

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Trump’s push for more US pickups in Japan, Europe faces steep road

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U.S. President Donald Trump has it right that Japan and Europe buy few American-made cars – but it has little to do with trade barriers. From Tokyo to London, many consumers see Detroit’s offerings as simply too big and too gas-guzzling.

That view has made Chevrolets and Cadillacs a hard sell, and a rare sight, in cities full of slimmer cars from the Toyota Corolla to Honda Civic, Volkswagen Golf and Renault Clio.

Trump often complains about what he sees as a refusal to accept U.S. cars while the Japanese and Europeans sell millions of automobiles a year into the U.S. In recent trade deals, both markets agreed to drop or ease safety tests on American vehicle imports. Europe will lower levies on U.S. cars.

But it may take more than a change of rules and lower tariffs to convince Japanese and European consumers, who contend with narrow roads and painfully tight parking, to buy big American-made Ford F-150 trucks and Cadillac Escalade SUVs.

“American cars are designed for wide roads and freeway driving, so handling them on narrow Japanese streets can be tricky. It takes a bit of technique,” said Yumihito Yasue, president of Johnan Jeep Petit in Tokyo, which imports and services vintage cars from the U.S. His customers tend to be enthusiasts in their 50s and 60s who grew up seeing American cars on TV and in movies.

On a recent weekday, he was servicing two Chevrolets, a lustrous brown 1971 Nova and a low-slung 1986 El Camino, both with their steering wheels on the left. In Japan, steering is on the right.

Yasue inherited his love of American cars from his father, who started the business four decades ago and would travel to California to scout for cars. Yasue took over after his father died nine years ago, and sells about 20 vehicles a year.

“What makes American cars special is the design. Compared to Japanese or German cars, the body shape is more beautiful. Especially the lines, like the rear lines and the fenders,” he said.

Some 3.7 million new cars were sold in Japan last year, with a third of those mini or “kei” cars – tiny, fuel-efficient vehicles not produced by American automakers. Overall, foreign cars accounted for 6% of new car sales, data from the Japanese Automobile Manufacturers Association showed.

Of those, around 570 Chevys, 450 Cadillacs and 120 Dodges were sold, data from the Japan Automobile Importers Association showed.

Ford pulled out of Japan almost a decade ago. Tesla makes cars sleeker than some of Detroit’s and is becoming more popular. The data does not give a breakdown for the EV maker.

Europe reluctant too

In Europe, smaller locally-made U.S. cars have done well: models like the bestselling Ford Puma and the older Fiesta. But over the past two decades, Ford and General Motors have pivoted toward larger pickups and SUVs, vehicles less suited to Europe’s narrow streets and compact-car culture.

Ford, a big player in Europe from the early 1900s, has seen sales in the region fall sharply, from 1.26 million vehicles in 2005 to just 426,000 in 2024, according to data from the European Automobile Manufacturers’ Association (ACEA). Its market share dropped from 8.3% to 3.3%.

“We don’t buy Ford F-150s, that’s not what our roads are scaled for, it’s not what our customers want,” Andy Palmer, former CEO of Aston Martin, told Reuters.

GM exited Europe in 2017, selling Opel after pulling back Chevrolet, but returned with its Cadillac Lyriq last year. It sold a mere 1,514 of the U.S.-made SUV, according to auto data firm Jato.

A GM spokesperson said Cadillac was growing its all-electric lineup in Europe, and the vehicles had been well-received in the markets where they were launched. A Ford spokesperson said the firm exported “passion products” to Europe like the Bronco and Mustang, alongside locally-made models tailored for the market.

Vehicles are offered for sale at a General Motors dealership in Chicago, Illinois, U.S., July 22, 2025. (AFP Photo)

Vehicles are offered for sale at a General Motors dealership in Chicago, Illinois, U.S., July 22, 2025. (AFP Photo)

Clive Sutton, a British car dealer in London who sells luxury American models, said his buyers were drawn to the rarity of vehicles like the giant Cadillac Escalade. But he admitted it was a challenge.

“There are people that want that car because of its exclusivity and its perceived status,” Sutton said. “But it’s not the most easy car to find a parking space for, certainly in central London.”

Competitive market

Trump has also put pressure on South Korea to open its market to American cars and said duty-free access was part of the trade deal the two countries agreed last week.

There, imported vehicles account for less than one-fifth of the car market and U.S. models for only 16% of the imported car segment, which is dominated by German rivals, according to data from the Korea Automobile Importers & Distributors Association.

German manufacturers have also carved out a strong presence in Japan’s luxury market. Mercedes-Benz sold more than 53,000 vehicles last year, making it the most popular foreign brand, followed by BMW at more than 35,000. Japanese automakers say Europeans have been successful because they committed the time and resources to the market.

Detroit carmakers, meanwhile, are often associated with left-hand drive cars, which are more challenging to drive on the left-hand side of the road.

But some U.S. manufacturers are changing.

GM has offered the Corvette only in right-hand drive since the eighth generation version went on sale in 2021. That may be one reason why some 80% of buyers are new customers, a GM spokesperson said. The Corvette is the only model Chevy offers in Japan, and it has sold fewer than 1,000 of them a year for the last decade.

GM this year announced plans for a line-up of right-hand-drive Cadillac EVs and deliveries of the Lyriq started in July.

‘Wow, a foreign car’

Jeep, which sells right-hand drive models, has been the most popular American brand for more than a decade, the importer data showed. It sold just shy of 10,000 vehicles last year in Japan.

Yukimi Nitta used to drive a “kei” car but she was drawn to the Jeep Wrangler’s appearance, which she described as “friendly” and “outdoorsy.” The 42-year-old hair salon owner is now on her second Jeep – a limited-edition beige model – and hopes to switch again to another limited-edition color. Parking is tight but manageable, she said, and two of her friends have since bought Wranglers.

“People often say, ‘Wow, a foreign car!’ But once you drive it, it feels totally normal. I wish more people would try it,” she said.

While the Wrangler does burn through fuel quickly, the resale value is good, making it possible to switch out colours, something owners do, Nitta said.

A spokesperson for Jeep owner Stellantis said it actively promoted owner events. In July, it announced a collaboration with the “Jurassic World” movie series featuring a limited-edition pink Wrangler, the spokesperson said.

Big American cars and trucks might find it hard to follow in Jeep’s tracks.

Daniel Cadwell, an American living in Tokyo, exports used Japanese camper vans and wagons to the U.S. He said he was struck by the size of American cars whenever he went home.

“They are just excessively big,” said Cadwell, who runs Javan Imports in Portland with his U.S.-based business partner. “I think it is highly challenging for a car of that sort to be seen as attractive in Japan.”



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Türkiye’s export outlook remains robust despite global uncertainty

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The export climate for Turkish manufacturers remained strong in July as demand conditions continued to improve in their top markets despite uncertainty in global trade, a survey showed on Friday.

The Manufacturing Export Climate Index, which tracks the performance of Türkiye’s key export markets, rose to 51.3 from 51.0 in June, the Istanbul Chamber of Industry (ISO) said.

Readings above the neutral 50 threshold indicate an improvement in the export climate, while values below suggest deterioration. The latest figure marks the 19th consecutive month of improvement.

Economic activity in the United States, Türkiye’s second-largest export market for manufactured goods, accelerated in July, expanding at its fastest pace so far in 2025, the survey said.

The Middle East also contributed, with the United Arab Emirates (UAE) seeing strong non-oil activity despite a slight slowdown from June. Similar trends were recorded in Saudi Arabia and Kuwait.

Several major European export markets also registered growth in output. Spain recorded strong expansion, while Germany, the U.K., Italy and the Netherlands saw moderate increases.

In contrast, output contracted in France and Romania, which together account for about 7% of Türkiye’s manufacturing exports.

Russia’s output fell for a second month in July, with the pace of decline accelerating to its sharpest since October 2022, according to the survey.

Among all monitored economies, India posted the fastest growth, accelerating to a 15-month high. The steepest contraction occurred in Taiwan, followed by notable declines in Poland and Kenya.

Commenting on the findings, Andrew Harker, economics director at S&P Global Market Intelligence, said:

“In July, demand conditions showed improvement in most of the top 10 export markets of Turkish manufacturers. The notable expansion in the United States, where growth was recorded at its fastest pace since the beginning of 2025, was particularly encouraging for firms,” said said Andrew Harker, economics director at S&P Global Market Intelligence.

“In a global trade environment marked by heightened uncertainties, the overall improvement in economic activity in countries that constitute the main sources of external demand for Turkish exporters is a positive signal.”

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Türkiye on verge of ending FX-protected deposit scheme

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Türkiye is nearing an exit from a scheme shielding deposits against currency depreciation, a measure authorities began phasing out gradually in 2023 following a pivot toward more conventional economic policies.

Officials and the central bank have said the foreign exchange-protected Turkish lira deposits scheme, known as KKM, would be terminated by the end of 2025, though many bankers believe the exit could come even sooner.

Under the scheme, adopted in late 2021 to help reverse dollarization and counter a steep fall in lira, the Central Bank of the Republic of Türkiye (CBRT) had been protecting deposits by covering depreciation costs.

But authorities have been seeking to phase it out gradually and transition deposits into regular lira accounts, in part by dissuading companies and individuals from renewing the KKM accounts.

The value of deposits covered by the scheme has shrunk from a peak of $140 billion to below $11.8 billion, a figure now seen as negligible in the context of Türkiye’s $1.3 trillion economy. The exit from KKM has progressed much faster than initial market expectations.

Under the scheme, individuals and businesses were able to deposit lira in special accounts that were protected against exchange rate losses. The lira lost 44% of its value against the dollar in 2021, 29% in 2022, 37% in 2023, and 16% last year.

So far this year, it has depreciated by 13%.

Treasury and Finance Minister Mehmet Şimşek told Reuters this week the KKM balance had declined steadily thanks to the government’s exit strategy and tight monetary policy.

The KKM stock has fallen to almost TL 478 billion ($11.75 billion) from TL 3.4 trillion in August 2023. Its share of total deposits slid to 2% from 26.2%.

The balance dropped around TL 11.6 billion in the week through Aug. 1, according to the data from the Banking Regulation and Supervision Agency (BDDK) on Thursday.

After May 2023 elections, authorities turned to more conventional policies led by monetary tightening primarily aimed at curbing stubborn inflation.

With inflation having eased to 33.5% from a peak of 75% last year, the central bank has begun cutting rates again.

The total cost of the KKM is estimated at nearly $60 billion to the end of 2024, according to Reuters calculations based on central bank reports and budget data.

Last year, Türkiye ended other such policies, including a rule that forced banks to buy government bonds, effectively ending state control over the bond market. Earlier this year, the opening and renewal of KKM accounts for corporates was halted.

Since the return on KKM accounts is capped at 40% of the policy rate, they have long ceased to offer a meaningful alternative to regular lira deposits.

As the remaining KKM accounts held by individuals mature, a final regulation is expected to prohibit new openings and renewals, completing the phase-out of the scheme.

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Global food prices hit 2-year high on rising meat, edible oils

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Global food commodity prices climbed in July to their highest level in more than two years, driven by surging vegetable oil costs and record-high meat prices, which offset declines in cereals, dairy and sugar, data showed on Friday.

The United Nations’ Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) Food Price Index, which serves as a global benchmark for food commodity prices, averaged 130.1 points in July, a 1.6% increase from June, FAO said.

That was the highest reading since February 2023, though the index was 18.8% below its peak of March 2022, which followed Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine.

FAO’s meat price index hit a new all-time high of 127.3 points, up 1.2% from its previous peak in June, as strong import demand from China and the United States boosted beef and sheep meat prices, the agency said.

U.S. beef imports have climbed after drought led to a decline in the domestic cattle herd. China shipped in record amounts of beef last year amid growing popularity of the meat, though an official probe into imported beef has raised uncertainty about Chinese demand.

In other meat markets, poultry prices rose slightly following the resumption of imports of Brazilian chicken by major buyers after Brazil regained its avian influenza-free status following action against a first farm-level outbreak.

In contrast, pig meat prices declined due to sufficient supplies and lower demand, particularly in the European Union, FAO added.

The agency’s vegetable oil index surged to 166.8 points, up 7.1% month-on-month and the highest level in three years.

This increase was driven by higher quotations for palm, soy, and sunflower oils due to robust global demand and tightening supplies, though rapeseed oil prices fell as new-crop supplies arrived in Europe, FAO said.

FAO’s cereal price benchmark eased to its lowest in almost five years, reflecting seasonal supply pressure from wheat harvests in the Northern Hemisphere.

Its separate rice index dropped 1.8% last month, driven by ample export supplies and weak import demand.

Dairy prices edged down for the first time since April 2024, with declines for butter and milk powders offsetting further gains for cheese.

FAO’s sugar price index eased for a fifth consecutive month on expectations of increased production in Brazil and India, despite indications of recovering global sugar import demand, the agency said.

FAO did not update its cereal supply and demand estimates this month.

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Trump nominates top economic aide Stephen Miran for vacant Fed seat

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U.S. President Donald Trump said Thursday he will nominate a top economic adviser to the Federal Reserve’s Board of Governors, temporarily filling a vacancy as he seeks to boost his sway over the independent central bank.

Trump said he has named Stephen Miran, the chair of the White House’s Council of Economic Advisers, to fill a seat vacated by Governor Adriana Kugler, a former President Joe Biden appointee who is stepping down Friday.

Kugler announced a surprise resignation last week, as she returns to her tenured professorship at Georgetown University.

Miran, if approved by the Senate, will serve until Jan. 31, 2026.

Trump said the White House continues to search for a permanent replacement to serve in the 14-year Fed Board seat that opens Feb. 1.

The appointment is Trump’s first opportunity to exert more control over the Fed, one of the few remaining independent federal agencies. Trump has relentlessly criticized the current chair, Jerome Powell, for keeping short-term interest rates unchanged, calling him “a stubborn MORON” last week on social media.

Miran has advocated for a far-reaching overhaul of Fed governance that would include shortening Board member terms, putting them under the clear control of the president, and ending the “revolving door” between the executive branch and the Fed.

He has also been a major defender of Trump’s income tax cuts and tariff hikes, arguing that the combination will generate enough economic growth to reduce budget deficits.

Miran, who obtained a PhD in economics from Harvard, also has played down the risk of Trump’s tariffs generating higher inflation, a major source of concern for Powell.

His 41-page essay titled “A User’s Guide to Restructuring the Global Trading System” has been seen as providing rationale for Trump’s aggressive trade policies.

The choice of Miran may heighten concerns about political influence over the Fed, which has traditionally been insulated from day-to-day politics.

Fed independence is generally seen as key to ensuring that it can take difficult steps to combat inflation, such as raising interest rates, that politicians might be unwilling to take.

Federal Reserve governors vote on all the central bank’s interest-rate decisions, as well as its financial regulatory policies.

Miran’s nomination, if approved, would add a near-certain vote in support of lower interest rates.

At its most recent meeting last week, Fed officials kept their key rate unchanged at 4.3%, where it has stood after three rate cuts late last year. But two Fed governors – Christopher Waller and Michelle Bowman – dissented from that decision. Both were appointed by Trump in his first term.

Still, even with Miran on the board, 12 Fed officials vote on rate policy and many remain concerned that Trump’s sweeping tariffs could push inflation higher in the coming months.

After the July jobs report was released last Friday, Miran criticized Powell for not cutting rates, saying that Trump had been proven correct on inflation during his first term and would be again.

The president has pressured Powell to cut rates under the belief that his tariffs will not fuel higher inflationary pressures.

“What we’re seeing now in real time is a repetition once again of this pattern where the president will end up having been proven right,” Miran said on MSNBC.

“And the Fed will, with a lag and probably quite too late, eventually catch up to the president’s view.”

Trump said Miran would do an “outstanding” job in his new post.

“Has been with me from the beginning of my Second Term, and his expertise in the World of Economics is unparalleled,” Trump wrote on Truth Social. “Congratulations Stephen!”

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