Economy
Agriculture, space, trade co-op to dominate OTS summit in Ankara
Leaders of a bloc of Turkic-speaking countries are due to gather in Türkiye this week, with cooperation on agriculture, space, trade and transportation expected to be high on the agenda.
The Organization of Turkic States (OTS) summit will be hosted by President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan on Friday in Ankara, which has been named the Turkic World’s Tourism Capital for 2026.
The gathering follows the NATO leaders’ summit held in the capital in July.
OTS leaders are expected to review the current state of cooperation and future prospects, as well as regional and international developments of shared interest, Anadolu Agency (AA) reported.
They will assess progress in the organization’s priority areas: political cooperation, trade and investment, transportation and connectivity, energy, digital transformation, cultural and humanitarian cooperation and institutional development.
The organization has set a long-term plan called Turkic World 2040 Vision, and the summit is expected to stress concrete steps toward it.
Türkiye will take over the group’s rotating chairmanship from Azerbaijan. Leaders are expected to adopt the Ankara Declaration along with decisions and documents meant to deepen cooperation and strengthen the organization’s institutions.
Turkish business groups are expected to hold events on the sidelines, with the Middle Corridor, border crossings, customs procedures and logistics costs set to feature in the talks. Turkmenistan’s president, Serdar Berdimuhamedov, is scheduled to meet Turkish business representatives on Oct. 30.
Transport, digital economy, agriculture, space
The Middle Corridor, a trade route linking Asia and Europe through Central Asia and the South Caucasus, offers important opportunities for the economic integration of the Turkic world, the report said.
The Baku-Tbilisi-Kars railway is among the major transportation projects between Türkiye and Azerbaijan.
A digital economy partnership agreement among members aims to remove barriers to e-commerce, digital services and cross-border data-based activity. Türkiye ratified it in June, becoming the third country to complete domestic approval after Azerbaijan and Uzbekistan.
Members are also working on a Turkic States Digital Agriculture Data Platform for data exchange and smart farming solutions. At the 77th International Astronautical Congress in Antalya, members recently signed a framework agreement continuing a joint CubeSat project coordinated by the organization.
Trade
Türkiye has been a net exporter to the organization’s members in recent years. Shipments to the four full members, Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan and Uzbekistan, have grown from $6.2 billion in 2021 to $9.6 billion last year. Imports in the same period rose from $4.2 billion to $7.3 billion
Total trade last year came to nearly $17 billion. Kazakhstan was Türkiye’s top export market at $3.2 billion, followed by Azerbaijan at $3 billion, Uzbekistan at $2.1 billion and Kyrgyzstan at $1.3 billion.
In the first eight months of this year, Türkiye exported $6.1 billion worth of goods and imported $5.4 billion, bringing trade to nearly $11.5 billion. Kazakhstan led again at $2 billion, followed by Azerbaijan at $1.9 billion, Uzbekistan at $1.3 billion and Kyrgyzstan at $832.8 million.
Turkmenistan, Hungary and the Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus (TRNC) hold observer status in the organization. The Economic Cooperation Organization is an observer organization.
Brazil’s economy has beaten expectations in recent years, but mounting debt and entrenched structural problems could complicate leftist President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva’s fourth term, which begins in January.
Here are the five main economic challenges he faces:
Soaring debt
Brazil’s public debt has surged more than 10 percentage points during Lula’s current term to over 82% of gross domestic product (GDP), driving up borrowing costs.
The root cause is years of rising mandatory spending, leaving under 8% of the federal budget adjustable.
Lula has sent mixed fiscal signals, at times dismissing debt worries as “nonsense,” while arguing strong economic growth would fix the problem.
His team has pledged to keep the government’s current budget rules, which cap spending growth and set primary balance targets – revenues minus expenditures, excluding interest payments on public debt – and hinted at tightening them.
Hitting those targets will be harder given Lula’s promise to raise the minimum wage faster than inflation, which also lifts pension costs, after already raising welfare benefits and promising new spending.
High interest rates, sticky inflation
Even with interest rates at 13.75%, Brazil’s annual inflation of 4.6% remains above the central bank’s tolerance range of 1.5% to 4.5%.
The central bank delivered its fifth straight rate cut last month on growing signs of an economic slowdown, but markets expect inflation to remain above the official 3% target until as late as 2029.
Lula’s platform promises lower interest rates through fiscal discipline that spares social programs, but most economists say rates will only fall faster if Brazil cuts spending, and it’s unclear how he will square the two.
Debt-laden households, businesses
A record nearly 84 million Brazilians and 9.3 million businesses are behind on debt payments, according to credit bureau Serasa, as high interest rates bite.
That has fueled public dissatisfaction despite strong indicators such as record-low unemployment and wage growth outpacing inflation.
Lula plans a new round of debt relief, this time through discounted purchases of distressed household loans from banks, plus tax debt forgiveness for some small-business owners. Analysts say such measures offer only temporary relief.
The government has also discussed with the central bank ways to rein in heavy use of easy but expensive credit, such as credit cards and unsecured consumer loans, though it has not detailed any proposals.
Scarce political capital for reforms
Lula will likely struggle to push his economic agenda through Congress after voters elected the most conservative legislature since Brazil’s return to democracy in the 1980s.
Although he defeated right-wing Senator Flavio Bolsonaro in Sunday’s runoff, Bolsonaro’s Liberal Party and its allies are set to control both chambers.
Lula’s aides have signaled he will keep pushing to curtail tax breaks, but lawmakers have repeatedly resisted measures that raise the effective tax burden.
During his current term, Lula has struggled to name nominees and win Senate approval for them at key institutions, including the Supreme Court, central bank, securities regulator and antitrust watchdog, and that is likely to be even more difficult ahead with the rightward shift of Congress.
Tax reform uncertainties
Lula won congressional approval in 2023 for a sweeping overhaul of Brazil’s consumption taxes, and a new value-added tax is set to take effect in January.
With under three months to go, the government has still not disclosed the effective rate, which independent analysts estimate will be around 28%.
Fearing a backlash during the campaign, the administration has also held off on sending Congress a bill to regulate a new tax on products considered harmful to health or the environment, such as cigarettes and alcohol.
That delay could push back revenue from the tax and has fueled criticism of the government’s handling of tax policy.
A key interest rate policy decision in the U.S., along an update on inflation and its impact on consumer confidence and economic growth data will fill a busy calendar this week as more large companies are also due to report their quarterly earnings.
They all arrive just weeks before the Nov. 3 midterm elections that will determine the future makeup of Congress as the U.S. economy grapples with constantly shifting global trade conflicts and a global oil shortage brought on by the U.S. war with Iran.
Inflation is stubbornly high, consumers are losing confidence and the resilient jobs market is showing more signs of stress.
Here’s a look at some of the key reports coming in the week ahead.
Americans are losing confidence in the economy as rising prices for everything from gas to groceries guts budgets. The latest consumer confidence survey from business group The Conference Board on Tuesday is expected to show that consumer confidence kept shrinking in October.
The last report showed that confidence plunged in September to the lowest level in more than a decade. The October report is expected to show confidence kept weakening. Consumer confidence is down sharply from two years ago, according to the survey.
In that time, the U.S. has waged a wide-ranging trade war with much of the world, including its neighbors and closest trading partners.
The uncertainty around the sudden shifts in tariffs left businesses and consumers wary about planning ahead over worries about higher costs.
Meanwhile, the U.S. war with Iran that started in early 2026 slashed global oil supplies and added more fuel to rising prices.
The Federal Reserve (Fed) will close out a two-day meeting on Wednesday and is expected to hold its benchmark interest rate steady following a hike at its September meeting.
The central bank has been signaling that it is still worried about inflation and that it may have to continue raising rates to help tame rising costs. Wall Street still expects that one more rate hike is coming at the Fed’s meeting in December.
Higher interest rates make borrowing more costly, which in turn can slow economic growth and cool stubbornly hot inflation. The Fed has to balance taming inflation with supporting the jobs market. Higher interest rates and slower economic growth could dampen rising inflation, but they could also hurt job growth at a time when the somewhat resilient employment market is showing signs of stress.
The U.S. Department of Commerce on Thursday will release its initial report on economic growth during the third quarter and economists expect a sluggish result. Economists are forecasting that gross domestic product (GDP), which is the nation’s output of goods and services, rose 1.7% from July through September. It’s the first of three reports for third-quarter GDP and can be revised higher or lower.
The forecast for the initial assessment marks an easing from 2.2% growth during the second quarter.
GDP growth has been slowing since the first quarter under pressure from higher oil prices fueling already stubbornly high inflation.
Yet, growth has been bolstered by a strong stock market and businesses investing in artificial intelligence technology. Households, though, have been struggling with higher costs on everything from gas to groceries eating up more of their budgets at the same time that average wages for workers stagnate.
The latest inflation update is expected to show that prices on everything from gasoline to clothing and groceries marched higher at a faster rate in September. The U.S. will release the personal consumption expenditures report (PCE) on Thursday and economists expect that inflation jumped at a 3.7% rate, up from a 3.4% rate in August.
The PCE is the preferred measure of inflation used by the Fed, which wants to bring inflation down to its target rate of 2%. Several other measures of inflation have also moved stubbornly above a 3%.
Inflation has been rising at an even sharper rate since the U.S. war with Iran started in February, essentially shutting down the vital Strait of Hormuz and stifling the global oil supply.
That has prompted a surge in gasoline prices that have been a direct hit to household budgets. Higher diesel fuel costs raised the cost of shipping and warehousing goods, which businesses typically pass along to consumers.
The latest updates on retail sales show that household spending remains strong, on the surface. Much of that spending, though, is the result of paying higher costs , especially for gasoline.
Investors have another busy week of earnings ahead, with reports from big names that could provide more insight on plans for AI spending and how inflation is influencing profits.
The most closely-watched reports this week are likely to be the big technology or technology-related companies that have seen their stock values surge as they heavily invest in artificial-intelligence technology with hopes for a big benefit.
Google’s parent company, Alphabet, reports its results on Wednesday, with Intel and Amazon reporting their latest results on Thursday.
Analysts expect all three companies to report profit gains as Wall Street tries to determine whether their big AI investments will translate into future growth and whether their outsized stock values are justified.
A wide range of other companies will report results this week, shedding more light on inflation’s impact across industries. Shipping company UPS and beverage giant Coca-Cola report results on Tuesday. Starbucks reports its results on Thursday, while oil giants ExxonMobil and Chevron report their results on Friday.
Togg, Türkiye’s domestically developed electric vehicle brand, unveiled on Friday a new special edition of its T10F electric fastback, featuring amber-inspired design details and seven exterior color options.
The T10F 4More Kehribar edition takes its name from kehribar, the Turkish word for amber, a natural resin that fossilizes over millions of years. The series draws on amber’s warm tones and changing reflections to highlight the car’s sporty design, the company said.
The seven exterior colors are Ayder, Seyhan, Urla, Kula, Oltu, Gemlik and Mardin, names associated with locations across Türkiye. The colors are designed to create different visual effects depending on the lighting and viewing angle.
Amber-colored accents appear on several exterior elements, including the wheels, front grille, logo, side mirrors and window surrounds. Inside, seats made with Artisyn fabric, embossed patterns and specially designed decorative surfaces carry the color and material theme into the cabin.
The new edition joins Togg’s special-series lineup following the Obsidian edition, which drew inspiration from the deep black tones of obsidian, a naturally occurring volcanic glass.
The 4More goes for a high-performance, dual-motor, all-wheel-drive (AWD) product line for the carmaker’s models.
Industry and Technology Minister Mehmet Fatih Kacır on Friday visited Togg’s campus in the northwestern Bursa province to review work on the new model and the T6X, a low-cost B-SUV scheduled to go on sale in 2027.
In a post on the Turkish social media platform NSosyal, Kacır described Togg’s facility as the country’s most digitally advanced automotive production plant, with an average of one industrial robot for every 10 employees.
He also said the plant had a production rate of 375 vehicles per day, highlighting the company’s manufacturing capacity as it continues to develop its model lineup.
Togg was founded eight years ago after President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan called for the production of a fully locally funded passenger car.
The company is currently manufacturing the T10X SUV and the T10F fastback, launched last year.
Togg sold 39,020 vehicles domestically last year, and its sales in the first nine months of this year rose over 60% year-over-year to 37,426 units, data from the Automotive Distributors and Mobility Association (ODMD) shows.
U.S. President Donald Trump is expected to lift 50% tariffs on select Canadian agricultural and forestry products in a move intended to bolster Republican Sen. Susan Collins’ reelection bid in Maine ahead of November’s midterm elections, The Wall Street Journal reported Friday.
Citing people familiar with the planned action, the report said the tariff changes could be announced as early as Friday, although the scope and timing remain subject to change.
The potential move comes after Collins, a moderate Republican facing a competitive reelection race, sought relief from tariffs that have affected Maine industries and consumers. Maine has extensive economic ties with Canada, making cross-border trade a significant issue in the state’s Senate contest.
Collins’ Democratic challenger, Troy Jackson, has made Trump’s trade policies toward Canada a central theme of his campaign. The two candidates are neck-and-neck in polls ahead of Election Day.
A White House official cautioned against treating preliminary reports as confirmation of an impending policy change. “Any tariff announcements would come directly from the administration and any preliminary reporting is speculation,” the official said, according to the Journal.
Canada imposed retaliatory tariffs on the U.S. after Trump’s announcement last month, following the breakdown of trade talks between Washington and Ottawa.
Canada plans to use a government agency in Türkiye that manages the country’s defense industry and the supply of military technology as a model as it works to build up its own domestic arms sector, a report said Friday.
The Presidency of Defense Industries (SSB) serves as the primary defense procurement authority to fulfill the technological needs of Turkish security forces utilizing domestic resources.
The report comes amid Prime Minister Mark Carney’s visit to Türkiye, the first bilateral visit by a Canadian leader, as Ottawa seeks new global trade partners to reduce reliance on the United States.
NATO allies upgraded their relations to a “strategic partnership” on Thursday following talks between Carney and President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan in Ankara, focusing on trade and investment, defense, security and energy.
In Istanbul on Friday, Carney said Ottawa is “in need of Turkish expertise” to strengthen its defenses and reduce reliance on foreign military systems. He said Canada was interested in both Turkish military technology and joint industrial partnerships.
Türkiye has agreed to join Canada’s Defense Security and Resilience Bank as one of 10 founding member nations of Carney’s multilateral “middle powers” bank.
The bank’s purpose is to bolster the defense of like-minded allied nations by raising up to 100 billion pounds ($134 billion) in cheap financing.
‘Lot to learn’
Carney’s government wants to bring about strategic cooperation between Canadian and Turkish companies in production, innovation and technology transfer, Anadolu Agency (AA) said on Friday, citing defense industry sources. They said he drew particular attention to Türkiye’s expertise in space and aviation.
During the visit, Carney stressed Türkiye produces around 80% of its own defense needs domestically, which he said is not the case in Canada. “We have a lot to learn,” he noted.
He added that Canada is in a position where it needs Türkiye’s defense industry expertise more and described reaching a local-content rate above 80% as a desirable policy goal for his government, the report said.
In an earlier interview, Carney said Canada intends both to run joint defense projects with Türkiye and to buy Turkish products. He pointed to Türkiye’s innovation and technology base, especially in unmanned systems.
What SSB does
The SSB organizes nearly all areas of Türkiye’s defense industry, including localization, production, innovation, procurement, regulation, public-private cooperation and corporate financing.
It centralizes coordination between the armed forces and public and private companies, which allows quick decisions and rapid delivery of requirements. It is said to be a structure with no equal in the world.
The agency supports national design and domestic production, introduces rules to raise firms’ export earnings, and aims to phase out dependence on foreign suppliers for critical systems. It oversees an ecosystem of more than 4,500 companies, guided by technology-acquisition obligations and capability-building policies.
Poland’s deputy prime minister and defense minister, Wladyslaw Kosiniak-Kamysz, has also praised the agency. He said earlier that Poland wanted to adopt a similar model, because the SSB not only buys and produces for its own needs but also exports and promotes exports.
Part of push to cut reliance on Washington
Canada’s interest fits Carney’s strategy of reducing dependence on the United States for security and supplies.
Canada’s government set up a Defense Investment Agency last year to cut bureaucratic delays in defense procurement. It also announced a goal of raising the domestic industry’s share of defense spending to 70% over the next 10 years.
The two countries signed a Defense Sector Partnerships memorandum of understanding on Thursday. SSB head Haluk Görgün said it reflects a commitment to expand cooperation between two NATO allies.
On Friday, Carney met senior executives of Aselsan, known for electro-optical, radar and avionics systems, and Baykar, known for unmanned aerial systems and autonomous software.
Türkiye aims to see 100,000 startups founded by 2030 and to raise the combined valuation of its “Turcorns,” the country’s billion-dollar startups, to $100 billion, Industry and Technology Minister Mehmet Fatih Kacır said on Friday.
“We aim to have 100,000 startups established in Türkiye by 2030 and to raise the total valuation of our Turcorns to $100 billion,” Kacır told the GO! GLOBAL Türkiye Summit 2026.
The event was organized by the Türkiye-U.S. Business Council’s Digital Working Group at the Foreign Economic Relations Board (DEIK) with Endeavor Türkiye. It focused on Türkiye’s technology entrepreneurship ecosystem, global investment opportunities and goals in advanced technology.
Kacır said Türkiye is working to become a global center for technology, entrepreneurship and investment. He said annual research and development spending has risen over the past 20 years from $1.2 billion to about $20 billion, and R&D’s share of national income from 0.5% to 1.46%.
He said advances in artificial intelligence, biotechnology, semiconductors and quantum technologies are reshaping global competition, value chains and traditional sources of competitive advantage.
Kacır said more than 13,000 technology companies operate in Türkiye’s 115 technology parks, and thousands of researchers and engineers work in more than 1,700 R&D and design centers. He added that Türkiye is the world’s 11th-largest defense exporter.
Startup support, data centers
Kacır pointed to Togg, Türkiye’s national electric carmaker, as a concrete example of this vision. He said more than 120,000 Togg vehicles have been put on the road so far.
He said the BiGG program is Türkiye’s largest public support mechanism for pre-seed and seed-stage technology startups, and has helped set up about 2,700 technology ventures.
Kacır said artificial intelligence is among the government’s highest priorities, and that Türkiye wants to be a country that develops AI technologies and exports them to global markets.
The Türkiye AI Action Plan has 16 priority actions, he said. Within two years, the government aims to train 10,000 advanced AI specialists and 100,000 AI application professionals, and to give AI literacy training to 5 million citizens.
On data centers, he said the goal is to raise installed capacity to at least 1 gigawatt by 2030, which would require mobilising at least $10 billion of investment.
He said $3 billion in public support has been set aside for data center and AI investments under HIT-30, the government’s high-technology investment program.
Kacır said Türkiye offers global investors its strategic location, growth, large domestic market and skilled workforce. The economy has grown by more than 5% a year on average over the past 20 years, he said, and the country has more than 86 million people and about 23 million primary, secondary and university students.
He said Türkiye added about 8 gigawatts of electricity generation capacity last year, and aims to add 8 to 10 gigawatts of renewable capacity each year for the next decade.
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