Economy
New Delhi announces work-from-home days to tackle fuel shortages
India’s capital New Delhi introduced fuel-saving measures on Thursday, including work-from-home days for government employees following Prime Minister Narendra Modi appeal for reduced consumption as the Middle East war disrupts supply chains.
India is one of the few countries in the region that has not increased prices of petrol and diesel for domestic consumers or rationed supplies.
However, it has increased prices of liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) – a primary cooking fuel in India – after disruptions following the U.S.-Israeli strikes on Iran that led to Iran’s near-total blockade of the strategic Strait of Hormuz.
Delhi Chief Minister Rekha Gupta said the 90-day drive will entail reduced official fuel use and travel, and a push for residents to cut back on private vehicle use and shift to public transport in the sprawling megacity.
Government offices will have two work-from-home days a week for those able to work remotely, Gupta said, adding that the private sector was expected to follow suit voluntarily.
“Our appeal to the people of Delhi is that once a week, each of us should have a no-vehicle day,” Gupta told reporters.
Other austerity measures will include the cancellation of large official public events over the next three months and foreign travel for a year, she said.
The Delhi government will also halt purchases of new petrol, diesel, compressed natural gas (CNG) or hybrid vehicles for six months, the chief minister said.
Modi said on Sunday that restrictions on fuel use were also necessary to save foreign currency spent on fuel imports.
“We must also place a strong emphasis on saving foreign exchange, as petrol and diesel have become so expensive globally,” he said.
New Delhi has also boosted its import tariffs on gold and silver in an effort to shore up the sagging value of the rupee and bolster foreign currency reserves hit by the war.
Economy
Turkish house sales hit highest year-to-date figure in April
The momentum in the property market in Türkiye picked up pace in April as both house and commercial property sales increased in the month, official data showed on Thursday.
A total of 126,808 houses were sold in Türkiye in April, up 2.6% from a year earlier, according to the Turkish Statistical Institute (TurkStat).
The figure compares with 123,569 housing sales recorded in the same month last year and cumulatively looking it is also the highest figure this year so far.
House sales, which are divided into new home sales and second-hand sales, were relatively lower in the first quarter following a record achieved in sales in December last year.
Accordingly, in April, new house sales surged by 9.6% compared to the same month of the previous year, reaching 40,306 units, as per TurkStat.
Second-home sales, meanwhile, decreased by 0.3% over the same period to 86,502 units.
Thus, new house sales accounted for 31.8% while existing house sales accounted for 68.2% of total house sales.
Mortgage-financed home sales jumped 40.5% to 25,771, accounting for 20.3% of total transactions in the same month.
Meanwhile, sales to foreign buyers declined 1.1% to 1,516 units, with Russians, Chinese and Iranians among the top purchasers, data revealed. In January-April, house sales to foreigners decreased by 11.6% year-over-year to 5,681 units.
In the first four months of the year, total house sales stood at 476,204 units, up 0.5% year-on-year.
Commercial property sales, which TurkStat recently included in its monthly housing report, have also increased in April.
New commercial property sales rose by 14.3% on an annual basis, reaching 4,301 units, while second-hand ones were up 8.7% and stood at 11,393 units, respectively.
Turks tend to invest in the residential sector and gold to shield themselves from the surge in consumer prices.
Annual inflation in the country picked up slightly to around 32.4% in April after a long period of declining trend, mainly due to the rise in energy and food prices following the start of the war between the U.S., Israel and Iran.
Economy
Turkish central bank ups year-end inflation target, warns of war risks
The Turkish central bank raised its interim inflation targets on Thursday, warning it believed that an inflationary impact would remain present in the short-term due to tensions in the region amid the Iran war.
The Central Bank of the Republic of Türkiye (CBRT) lifted its end-2026 interim inflation target to 24% from the previous 16% and end-2027 target to 15% from 9%, Governor Fatih Karahan said.
Presenting the central bank’s quarterly inflation report in Istanbul, Karahan said the bank set its end-2028 interim target at 9%.
While also setting forecasts at 26%, 15% and 9% for the said years, the governor announced that the bank decided to suspend the forecast range approach.
Annual inflation in Türkiye stood at around 32.4% in April, according to official data.
Economy
UK economy expands 0.6% in Q1 in rare boost for PM Starmer
The British economy grew in line with expectations in the first quarter of the year, official data showed Thursday, offering a rare boost to Prime Minister Keir Starmer as he scrambles to stay in power.
Gross domestic product (GDP) rose 0.6% in the January-March period, up from a revised expansion of 0.2% in the final three months of last year, the Office for National Statistics (ONS) said.
It added that GDP grew 0.3% in March alone, beating analysts’ expectations, despite the economic fallout from the Middle East war.
“Today’s figures show the government has the right economic plan,” Treasury chief Rachel Reeves said after the data release.
The economy “is in a stronger position as we deal with the costs of the war in Iran,” she added. “Now is not the time to put our economic stability at risk.”
The figures come as Starmer battles to face down a revolt within his Labour Party in the wake of heavy defeats in local and regional elections last week.
The elections saw strong gains for the hard-right Reform UK party and the left-wing populist Greens, at Labour’s expense.
The results capped a difficult few months for Labour, which has struggled to revive Britain’s economy since winning a general election in July 2024, having raised taxes in its two annual budgets.
There were signs of progress earlier in the year, with inflation easing toward the 2% target set by the Bank of England (BoE) and unemployment unexpectedly falling in February.
But rising energy prices stemming from the Middle East war, which began with U.S.-Israeli strikes on Iran on Feb. 28, have reignited inflationary pressures and threaten to derail growth.
Economy
US confirms Warsh as Fed chair amid pressure from Trump
The U.S. Senate on Wednesday approved Kevin Warsh as the next Federal Reserve chair, placing him at the helm of the central bank as it faces mounting political pressure and with inflation at a three-year high.
The Senate voted 54 to 45 to in favor of Warsh, with Republicans holding a slim majority and ensuring President Donald Trump’s nominee to replace Jerome Powell was confirmed.
Once known as a monetary “hawk” against inflation, Warsh has shifted in line with Trump’s push for lower interest rates that has posed an unprecedented challenge to the Fed’s independence.
The incoming Fed chair, confirmed for a four-year term, has promised to bring “regime change” at the bank, which he has criticized as too political and too open in communicating its decision-making.
But with inflation still above the Fed’s long-term two-percent target, and rising over Trump’s Iran war, Warsh is unlikely to convince fellow members of the bank’s rate-setting committee to cut immediately.
That could leave him open to attacks from Trump, who has relentlessly lashed out at Powell over rate decisions.
“Warsh’s biggest challenge will likely be dealing with President Trump,” said David Wessel, senior fellow at the Brookings Institution.
“The president does not respect the independence of the Fed and he wants interest rates to be lower.”
Fed independence attacks
In January, Powell said a Justice Department criminal probe against him over cost overruns related to a building renovation project was intended to create pressure on monetary policy decision-making.
That followed Trump’s separate attempt to oust Fed Governor Lisa Cook from the board.
The criminal probe against Powell has since been dropped, as the Trump administration aimed to smooth the path for Warsh’s nomination. The Supreme Court is due to rule on the legality of removing Cook.
Both moves were “unprecedented,” said Kathryn Judge, a Columbia law professor who focuses on banking.
While Warsh is Trump’s pick, as Powell was nine years ago, Judge said there was no reason to believe the pressure will ease.
“Fed officials have been put on notice that this president is willing to use all available tools to bully them into acceding to his demands,” she said.
Economic challenges
Warsh is taking over as the world’s largest economy continues to reel from repeated economic shocks.
The pandemic delivered a hammer blow to the Fed’s inflation target, with CPI peaking at 9.1 percent in mid-2022. It has since come down, but US households have been battered by years of higher-than-expected price increases.
In April, year-on-year inflation came in at a three-year high of 3.8 percent, fueled in part by surging oil prices in the wake of the US-Israel war on Iran.
The Fed’s other mandate is ensuring maximum employment. The unemployment rate has remained relatively firm at around 4.3 percent, but the steady number hides churn beneath the surface.
Job growth has been weak, see-sawing between expansion and contraction for months, with new jobs mainly driven by the health care sector.
The tumult has been partly hidden because there has been a significant drop in labor supply, driven by Trump’s deportation drive and an ageing population.
The situation has put Fed policymakers in the difficult position of having to choose between dueling mandates: raise interest rates to combat inflation, or cut them to spur growth?
A house divided
It is here that Warsh faces his third major challenge: divisions on the Fed’s rate-setting committee on the path forward.
At the last meeting, there was a rare outpouring of dissent, with three members declaring that the Fed should indicate a rate hike could be on the cards to combat inflation.
“One of Warsh’s challenges is that the Fed does seem divided — at times along partisan lines, which is a change from the past,” said Wessel.
Added to that another wrinkle: Powell will be the first outgoing chair in more than 70 years not to leave the board at the expiration of his term as its head.
Economy
Türkiye expects wider current account gap due to higher energy costs
Türkiye expects its current account deficit to widen this year due to high energy and non-energy commodity prices, Treasury and Finance Minister Mehmet Şimşek said on Wednesday.
But, Şimşek said, the deterioration is likely to remain temporary and manageable thanks to stronger macroeconomic fundamentals and policy gains.
His remarks came after Wednesday’s official data showed Türkiye registered a current account deficit of $9.6 billion in March, mainly due to a higher trade gap.
The figure was in line with market expectations but still marked the highest monthly gap in three years.
Türkiye’s external balance has been in focus due to the country’s heavy reliance on imported energy, whose prices spiraled due to the Iran war that has effectively shut the key Strait of Hormuz.
Excluding gold and energy, the current account deficit stood at $3.9 billion in March, the Central Bank of the Republic of Türkiye (CBRT) said. Goods recorded a gap of $9.5 billion, while services posted a surplus of $2.6 billion.
On annualized terms, the shortfall totaled $39.7 billion, or approximately 2.6% of gross domestic product (GDP).
The goods deficit recorded as $77.8 billion, while services recorded a net surplus of $63 billion. The primary and secondary income realized a net deficit of $23.8 billion and $1.1 billion, respectively.
Şimşek said elevated global commodity prices would put pressure on the external balance, but emphasized that the government’s economic program had improved resilience against such shocks.
“This year, the current account deficit will increase due to the high course of energy and non-energy commodity prices,” he wrote on the social media platform X.
“Thanks to the gains achieved through our program and strengthened macroeconomic foundations, we assess that this increase will remain at manageable levels and be temporary.”
The minister noted that the annualized current account gap was expected to decline significantly in April, supported by an improvement in the foreign trade balance.
However, he warned of a temporary deterioration in May, citing the impact of an extended public holiday period that is likely to disrupt economic activity.
“At the same time, we observe that the war’s impact on tourism revenues has remained limited,” Şimşek said
Tourism is a critical component of Türkiye’s external financing, helping offset part of the country’s structural energy import bill.
Şimşek also noted that direct foreign investment inflows totaled $1 billion in March, bringing annualized foreign direct investment to $12.6 billion.
He said Türkiye’s sovereign risk premium, measured by credit default swaps (CDS), had moved closer to pre-war levels, while debt rollover ratios remained strong.
“Our country’s risk premium is approaching pre-war levels, while the high trend in debt rollover ratios continues,” Şimşek said.
He added that the new investment incentive package currently under discussion in Parliament was expected to strengthen Türkiye’s financing structure and support long-term capital inflows.
“We continue policies that reduce external energy dependency while supporting value-added production and the green transformation,” he said.
Economy
Türkiye, Belgium hail momentum after high-level business visit
Ankara and Brussels praised the momentum in their economic relations on Wednesday after a visit by a high-level delegation this week that saw series of meetings and agreements.
The delegation was accompanying Belgium’s Queen Mathilde as part of a high-level economic mission aimed at strengthening trade and investment ties between Türkiye and Belgium.
Queen Mathilde was received by President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and met with top Turkish authorities, while also attending a series of meetings and events.
The delegation included 400 representatives of the Belgian federal and regional authorities, companies, federations, chambers of commerce and academic institutions.
Both sides noted that Türkiye-Belgium economic relations continue to benefit from the broader framework of Türkiye-EU relations, including the 1963 Ankara Agreement and the Türkiye-EU Customs Union.
“In this vein, they recognized the importance of the Türkiye-EU relationship and expressed support for constructive engagement, including discussions on the modernization of the Customs Union and continued facilitation of business and people-to-people mobility, in accordance with EU frameworks and benchmarks,” a joint statement said on Wednesday.
In addition to strengthening economic cooperation, they said the mission constituted an important step in building more structured and closer political relations.
Belgium last organized an economic mission to Türkiye in 2012, when the visit was led by King Philippe, then crown prince.
Talks and meetings during the five-day visit focused on strategic sectors such as energy, aerospace and defense industry, logistics and transportation, digital transformation and industry 4.0, and life sciences and pharma.
“As long-standing partners and NATO Allies, Turkish and Belgian sides noted with pleasure the momentum in their relations, facilitated by joint efforts and a shared interest in international peace and stability in view of regional and global developments,” the statement read.
Both sides said they acknowledged the deep-rooted relations and reaffirmed the contributions of the Belgian-Turkish community to political, economic, cultural and social ties.
The visit saw the signing of multiple bilateral agreements and memoranda of understanding, providing updated frameworks for cooperation and facilitating closer engagement in areas of mobility, defense, social protection and safety of agri-food products.
Officials said the two countries are aiming to increase the bilateral trade volume to $15 billion (TL 681.27 billion) in the near term.
Their trade reached $9.2 billion in 2025, including $5 billion in Turkish exports and $4.2 billion in imports.
They also expressed a major potential and a need for investments to increase.
Belgian investments in Türkiye totaled $9.3 billion between 2002 and January 2026, while Turkish investments in Belgium amounted to $490 million.
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