Connect with us

Economy

Aramco profit falls again as slump in oil prices hits revenues

Published

on


Oil giant Saudi Aramco announced its 10th consecutive drop in quarterly profits on Tuesday as a slump in prices hit revenues, adding more pressure on the key driver of the Saudi economy.

Second quarter profits declined 22% year-over-year to 85 billion riyals ($22.67 billion), extending a decline that has been ongoing since late 2022.

“The decrease in revenue was mainly due to lower crude oil prices and lower refined and chemical products prices,” Aramco said in its quarterly report.

Aramco’s falling revenues come as Saudi Arabia pursues a costly revamp aimed at reducing its reliance on oil and pivoting toward tourism and business.

Crown Prince Mohammad bin Salman’s Vision 2030 project includes flashy resorts, sprawling entertainment complexes and NEOM, a futuristic $500 billion new city in the desert.

Aramco was trading at 23.97 riyals on Tuesday, 12% below the 27.35 riyals price of its secondary share offering last year.

Since a high point of nearly $2.4 trillion in 2022, when oil prices soared following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, Aramco has lost more than $800 billion in market value.

Oil prices, currently around $70 a barrel, have remained low despite tensions roiling the Middle East, including the short-lived Israel-Iran war in June.

However, Aramco president and CEO Amin H. Nasser remained optimistic, predicting higher demand in the rest of the year.

“Market fundamentals remain strong and we anticipate oil demand in the second half of 2025 to be more than two million barrels per day (bpd) higher than the first half,” he said in the report.

On Sunday, Saudi Arabia, Russia and six other key members of the OPEC+ alliance announced a production hike of 547,000 barrels per day as they unwind cuts of 2.2 million bpd that were designed to prop up prices.

‘More downwards than upwards’

Last month, Saudi Arabia’s Jadwa Investment forecast a widening of the budget deficit to 4.3% of gross domestic product (GDP) this year. Oil revenues provided 62% of the budget last year.

Industry analysts widely expected Aramco’s latest drop in profits.

“Oil market forces are more downwards than upwards in the first half of 2025, due to OPEC+ policy shifts and economic uncertainty stemming from the U.S. trade war,” Abu Dhabi-based Ibrahim Abdul Mohsen told Agence France-Presse (AFP).

“This has impacted the profit margins of oil companies, including Aramco.”

But he added: “Saudi Arabia has strong reserves capable of defending financial stability and supporting development projects in the short term.”

Government-owned Aramco was listed on the Saudi exchange in the world’s biggest initial public offering (IPO) in 2019, selling 1.7% of its shares at $29.4 billion.

A secondary offering of 0.64% of its issued shares raised a further $11.2 billion in June last year.

Aramco has also transferred a 16% stake to the Public Investment Fund (PIF), the Saudi wealth vehicle that is driving much of Vision 2030.

The Daily Sabah Newsletter

Keep up to date with what’s happening in Turkey,
it’s region and the world.

SIGN ME UP

You can unsubscribe at any time. By signing up you are agreeing to our Terms of Use and Privacy Policy.
This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.



Source link

Continue Reading
Click to comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Economy

Turkish Airlines signs deal with CFM to buy over 300 LEAP-1B engines

Published

on


Engine maker CFM International said Friday it had signed a memorandum of understanding (MoU) with Turkish Airlines covering the purchase of more than 300 LEAP-1B engines, including spares.

The engines will power the 100 firm and 50 optional Boeing 737 Max aircraft the national flag carrier announced in September, seeking to bolster its short- and medium-haul operations.

Alongside new engines, a long-term services agreement will cover Turkish Airlines’ entire LEAP-1B fleet, including engines already ordered and delivered, spares, engines on leased aircraft and those tied to potential options.

In total, the agreement spans more than 600 LEAP-1B engines operated by the airline and its subsidiary AJet.

New MRO facility in Türkiye

The MoU also includes a material services agreement to support an engine maintenance, repair and overhaul (MRO) facility in Türkiye.

The facility is meant to strengthen the engine maintenance capabilities of Turkish Technic, the airline’s maintenance arm, and allow it to offer comprehensive maintenance services.

Turkish Airlines currently operates 96 Boeing 737 Next Generation aircraft powered by CFM56-7B engines, and 79 Boeing 737 Max aircraft powered by LEAP-1B engines. Both figures include the AJet fleet.

“This new step with CFM will support our growing fleet, network, and operational efficiency,” said Murat Şeker, chair of the board of Turkish Airlines.

“We are also pleased to strengthen our partnership with CFM through a comprehensive set of services, providing the expertise, reliability, and long-term support needed to develop our LEAP MRO capabilities alongside a long-standing partner,” Şeker noted.

Turkish Technic CEO Mikail Akbulut said the agreement will enable the company to provide comprehensive maintenance operations for the LEAP engine.

“As Turkish Technic, we will continue to invest in engine maintenance services as well as our aircraft and component maintenance capabilities in line with our strategy,” Akbulut said.

‘New milestone’ in partnership

Olivier Andries, CEO of Safran, one of CFM’s two parent companies, described the MoU as a “new milestone” in a relationship with Turkish Airlines spanning nearly four decades.

“It reflects our shared ambition to support the airline’s continued growth and fleet expansion,” he noted. “The MoU demonstrates our broader commitment to an open MRO ecosystem, which provides airlines with flexibility and competitive services to improve operational performance and manage costs effectively.”

Lawrence Culp, Jr., chair and CEO of GE Aerospace, CFM’s other parent company, said GE was proud to partner with an airline that flies to more countries than any other.

“Putting its trust in CFM to provide highly reliable and efficient engines to support the growth of its Istanbul network and engine MRO capabilities is a responsibility we take seriously,” he said.

CFM noted that in the 10 years since the LEAP engine entered service, it has delivered more than 10,000 engines, which have accumulated over 100 million flight hours.

The Daily Sabah Newsletter

Keep up to date with what’s happening in Turkey,
it’s region and the world.

SIGN ME UP

You can unsubscribe at any time. By signing up you are agreeing to our Terms of Use and Privacy Policy.
This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.



Source link

Continue Reading

Economy

Türkiye unveils 2027 budget proposal with big rises in housing spending

Published

on


Türkiye’s 2027 budget will aim to support disinflation while strengthening investment, employment and exports, Vice President Cevdet Yılmaz said Friday.

The proposal, which includes spending of almost TL 27.28 trillion (about $550.8 billion), is ready to be sent to Parliament.

Yılmaz spoke at a ceremony to present the plan, which he called a “budget of resilience, prosperity and transformation,” prepared in the face of difficult regional and global conditions.

Growth and employment

The Turkish economy has kept growing even as global financial conditions tightened, external demand weakened and cost pressures rose, Yılmaz said, adding that the effects of weaker foreign demand and energy costs were limited.

Stronger growth among trading partners would create opportunities for exports and support balanced expansion, he said.

The government expects growth to rise to 4.2% in 2027 from a projected 3.3% this year, as the global outlook improves and external demand recovers. The economy grew 3.7% in 2025.

Under the Medium-Term Program (MTP), growth should accelerate gradually to 5% in 2029 through policies focused on productivity, technological transformation and innovation.

For 2027, employment is expected to rise by 657,000 people and labor force participation to reach 53.4%. Unemployment is forecast to fall to 8% from a projected 8.1% in 2026.

Inflation

The underlying trend in inflation continues to improve despite fluctuations in energy and commodity prices, Yılmaz said. Annual inflation, which fell below 30% in September, is forecast to end this year at 28.4% and decline to 21% by the end of 2027.

“Price stability is the fundamental priority of our program,” he said. The medium-term goal, he said, is lasting single-digit inflation, helped by supply-side policies, notably in social housing and food.

Deficits and debt

The government now expects this year’s budget deficit to come in at 3.1% of GDP, below the initial 3.5% projection, as revenues are running above expectations.

For 2027, Yılmaz projected the deficit at 3.5% of GDP, or $78.1 billion, which would fall to 2.8% excluding earthquake-related spending. The budget is expected to maintain a primary surplus next year.

Türkiye’s EU-defined general government debt declined to 22.3% of GDP in the second quarter from 23.1% in the first. Yılmaz described low public indebtedness as an important advantage amid global uncertainty.

Trade and external balance

The current account deficit is projected at 2.6% of GDP this year, which Yılmaz called manageable despite a temporary rise caused by the Iran war. The government expects it to fall below 2% next year.

Türkiye will continue policies to boost exports, strengthen energy supply security and reduce reliance on energy imports, Yılmaz said.

Goods exports rose 5.2% year-over-year to $211 billion in January-September, bringing the 12-month total to a record $283.7 billion.

Medium-high- and high-technology products made up 44% of exports, up from about 28% in the early 2000s.

Total goods and services exports are expected to reach $410 billion this year, said Yılmaz.

Housing and rents

Yılmaz said the budget will raise urban transformation spending by 176% to TL 276 billion and speed up social housing construction for low-income people, people with disabilities and newly married young people.

The government will also expand social housing and rental social housing to limit rent increases and meet housing needs. Support for social housing finance will rise 150% to TL 250 billion.

Earthquake reconstruction spending over 2023-2026 totaled $109 billion at current prices, equivalent to $104 billion, Yılmaz said, with 455,357 independent units completed and delivered.

Expenditures

The proposal projects expenditures of almost TL 27.28 trillion and revenues of TL 23.41 trillion, with national income expected to reach $2.24 trillion.

Interest spending is projected at $80.2 billion, personnel at $143.7 billion and current transfers at $206.7 billion.

By economic category:

Current transfers: TL 10.24 trillion Personnel: TL 7.12 trillion Interest: TL 3.97 trillion Goods and services: TL 2.18 trillion Capital spending: TL 1.85 trillion Capital transfers: TL 750 billion Lending: TL 613 billion Reserve appropriations: TL 542 billion

Selected sectors and programs:

Education: TL 2.46 trillion Health: TL 2.13 trillion Social assistance and support: TL 1.34 trillion (4.9% of the budget) Real sector support: TL 658 billion, excluding agricultural loan subsidies Electricity and natural gas support: TL 605 billion, up 62% Employer social security premium support: TL 351 billion Care support for elderly and disabled people: TL 132 billion Birth grants: TL 84 billion

Revenues

Value-added tax: TL 5.68 trillion Income tax: TL 5.53 trillion Special consumption tax: TL 3.28 trillion Non-tax revenue: TL 3.50 trillion Other taxes: TL 3.18 trillion Corporate tax: TL 2.22 trillion

The Daily Sabah Newsletter

Keep up to date with what’s happening in Turkey,
it’s region and the world.

SIGN ME UP

You can unsubscribe at any time. By signing up you are agreeing to our Terms of Use and Privacy Policy.
This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.



Source link

Continue Reading

Economy

Erdoğan lists 3 priorities as authorities handle fund turmoil

Published

on


President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan said Friday that Türkiye is addressing the fund turmoil in line with its priorities, warning that those who multiplied small sums through market tricks would be made to pay.

Erdoğan said Türkiye was confronting a problem that had resurfaced in a certain part of the fund market, and that the government had brought it under control through decisive steps taken since Sept. 17.

The crisis erupted after several funds last month said they could not meet investors’ redemption requests during a market sell-off, prompting a wide investigation into suspected price manipulation in a number of thinly traded stocks.

The Capital Markets Board (SPK) suspended trading in 131 funds run by seven asset management companies and placed them into liquidation, affecting nearly half a million investors. The government said it aimed to complete the liquidation of half of the funds by the end of this week.

Prosecutors have issued asset freezes and travel bans and have arrested more than 80 people, including the top executives of the asset management companies.

Erdoğan said the government had quickly set up a Fund Coordination Board to oversee the liquidation.

“We are carrying out the operation with the care of a surgeon,” he told an event in Istanbul.

Repaying investors

Erdoğan said the authorities were handling the issue according to three priorities.

The first priority, he said, is for the savings in the funds being liquidated to be paid to their owners as quickly as possible. He said payments under ordinary liquidation began last week and have continued without problems.

For extraordinary liquidations, interim payments will begin once the bill submitted to Parliament becomes law, he said.

Manipulators to be held to account

The second priority, Erdoğan said, is to deal in court with those who made unjust gains through manipulation. He said this is being carried out with the judicial process in mind, and that investigations are deepening in light of new information and confessions.

He contrasted those people with ordinary workers and business owners. “My exporter brother travels country to country to sell one more container, my industrialist brother works with great devotion despite the ring of fire around us, my merchant and tradesman brothers go to extraordinary lengths to earn honestly,” he said.

Against that background, he said, he would show no tolerance for people who multiplied TL 3 into TL 10, TL 20 or TL 30 in just three to five months through market trickery, and that they would be made to pay for their excessive gains.

Protect markets

The third priority is to manage the process without damaging the capital markets, Erdoğan said. He said the government had been careful from the first day, drawing a clear line between opportunists and investors.

He said the opposition and what he called “hired-gun” press outlets had not shown the same care.

Warning against ‘criminalizing’ markets

Erdoğan said ignoring the problem in part of the fund market would be wrong, but so would using it as cover to attack Turkish capital markets and scare investors away. “We cannot welcome the criminalization of our entire capital markets over the fund issue,” he said.

He said such an approach would hurt not only the capital markets but also the real sector, because capital markets act as a financial bridge between savers and businesses.

Erdoğan said the problem had arisen in only 4.6% of the total number of funds. Turning that into an attack on all capital market instruments, he said, “would amount to undermining the Turkish economy and sabotaging our country’s path to development.”

“No one – whether a politician or a journalist – has the right to do this. And we will not tolerate such opportunism.”

The Daily Sabah Newsletter

Keep up to date with what’s happening in Turkey,
it’s region and the world.

SIGN ME UP

You can unsubscribe at any time. By signing up you are agreeing to our Terms of Use and Privacy Policy.
This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.



Source link

Continue Reading

Economy

Türkiye targets early 2027 for new rules to combat capital market abuse

Published

on


Türkiye plans to complete new legislation by the beginning of 2027 to strengthen the fight against capital markets crimes, including coordinated trading by investment funds, Treasury and Finance Minister Mehmet Şimşek said Friday.

Vice President Cevdet Yılmaz said separately that the government is preparing a broader bill with structural reforms for the markets. Both made the announcements in social media posts as the government works to restore investor confidence after last month’s fund turmoil.

The crisis erupted after several funds said they could not meet investors’ redemption requests during a market sell-off, prompting a wide investigation into suspected price manipulation in a number of thinly traded stocks.

The Capital Markets Board (SPK) suspended trading in 131 funds run by seven asset management companies and placed them into liquidation, affecting nearly half a million investors. The government said it aimed to complete the liquidation of half of the funds by the end of this week.

Prosecutors have issued asset freezes and travel bans and have arrested more than 80 people, including the top executives of the asset management companies.

MSCI freezes index changes

Top officials’ statements came a day after MSCI froze certain changes to its Türkiye equity indexes, saying it needed more time to assess market reforms. The decision leaves Türkiye’s emerging-market status unchanged.

The freeze took effect immediately and will remain in place until further notice. MSCI will not increase foreign inclusion factors or the number of shares used in its indexes, add securities to the MSCI Turkey Investable Market Index, or make upward migrations across size-segment indexes.

MSCI said the decision followed concerns raised during its 2026 Market Classification Review over “possible coordinated trading through fund holdings closely affiliated with certain smaller listed companies.” If sufficient progress is not evident by June 2027, it said, it could take further steps, including consulting on a potential downgrade from emerging-market to frontier- or standalone-market status.

Türkiye’s benchmark BIST 100 is on track for a fifth straight weekly decline and is down more than 20% from its record closing high in May.

New rules, government priorities

Şimşek said the SPK has taken steps to improve transparency and investor confidence, partly in light of assessments by international index providers.

He said these measures have improved the flow of information and made ultimate share ownership more transparent.

Şimşek pointed to the Fund Guide, announced by the SPK at the end of August. Under its rules, hedge funds must disclose their portfolios weekly, and funds traded on the TEFAS electronic platform must announce when their ownership of a company crosses certain thresholds, whether rising above or falling below them. The guide also introduced concentration limits and requires that fund borrowing be collateralized and carried out on organized markets.

The government will closely monitor the results and take additional steps without delay, in consultation with stakeholders, Şimşek said.

Main priorities are completing the liquidation of the problem funds and protecting investors’ rights, according to the minister.

Şimşek said sanctions would be applied firmly against anyone who disrupts the fair and competitive functioning of the markets. The goal, he said, is a transparent, reliable and effective capital market.

Bill expected in Parliament next week

Yılmaz said the necessary steps have been taken regarding the troubled funds and that the process would speed up after a bill expected to be debated in Parliament next week.

Liquidating the funds through ordinary and extraordinary procedures would strengthen the structure of the capital markets, he said, adding that administrative measures had also been taken to prevent similar problems from recurring. Preparations are continuing for a new bill with structural improvements.

The government sees capital markets as an important part of its development policy and will continue to strengthen them in line with international standards, through both administrative decisions and legislation, Yılmaz said.

The Daily Sabah Newsletter

Keep up to date with what’s happening in Turkey,
it’s region and the world.

SIGN ME UP

You can unsubscribe at any time. By signing up you are agreeing to our Terms of Use and Privacy Policy.
This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.



Source link

Continue Reading

Economy

AI risks may exceed opportunities without safeguards: IMF chief

Published

on


The risks of artificial intelligence may exceed its opportunities if no adequate safeguards and ethical framework are put in place, International Monetary Fund (IMF) chief Kristalina Georgieva said on Friday, backing a blend of industry self-regulation and input from key governments.

The nascent technology was a dominant topic at this week’s annual meetings of the IMF and World Bank in Bangkok, where the IMF on Tuesday flagged significant growth and financial stability risks from a potential end of the AI investment boom, high debt levels and a prolonged war in the Middle East.

During a panel discussion that included Anthropic co-founder Jack Clark, Georgieva said AI was already strengthening the global economy, but could also deliver negative shocks if it failed to deliver major productivity gains as quickly as hoped.

“If there are no safeguards, then the risks may exceed the opportunities. And above all, we do need an ethical foundation, and I’m not sure we are there as a society,” she said.

Certain preconditions needed to be put in place for people everywhere to benefit from the new and rapidly evolving technology, including access to digital infrastructure, access to electricity and adequate regulation, Georgieva said.

The bigger question now was how to create guardrails for a technology that was evolving so rapidly, she said, likening AI developments to Formula One race cars careening around with no barriers to protect the audience.

Common sense standards

Industry self-regulation was appropriate, given that governments were not well-placed to regulate or oversee the constantly changing sector, but should include engagement with society. The countries with the biggest AI sectors, including the U.S., China and India, along with countries in the AI supply chain, should be involved, she told the panel.

Institutions like the IMF should also be involved in their areas of competence, such as productivity growth, labor markets and financial stability risks, Georgieva said.

“I think it’s Formula One at night, without maybe brakes in the cars,” quipped Anthropic’s Clark, picking up her analogy. He argued that setting standards was possible and was already starting through early policy frameworks in the European Union and voluntary commitments in the U.S.

Clark said his company regularly tested its systems, published details on the tests and shared the information, but he did not believe it should be completely voluntary.

Asked if he would favor regulation from the countries that produced AI, Clark said: “Yes. We need common sense standards, and that’s how you ultimately give confidence in the technology and build the economy.”

He added that Anthropic had brought third-party evaluators into its business and given them permission to review data.

“That’s ultimately what we think many others need to do,” he said, welcoming a statement from Elon Musk that his firm SpaceX might do the same.

Artificial or super?

U.S. Treasury Undersecretary Erin Browne said during a separate news conference that the IMF was too fixated on risks facing the global economy and should give more weight to opportunities for positive economic shocks, such as AI, which the U.S. government is now calling “super intelligence.”

On Thursday, Browne told Reuters that Washington was in talks with other IMF shareholders about adopting the new moniker in a joint statement being drafted by the fund’s steering committee.

Bank of England (BoE) Governor Andrew Bailey told a meeting of the Institute of International Finance that he was more optimistic than a month ago that countries would reach alignment on testing standards for AI.

“I’m not sure whether we’re supposed to talk about AI now, are we? I did use the phrase the other day ‘the artist formerly known as AI,'” he said.

Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Kevin Warsh also weighed in, telling Georgieva during a separate panel: “Kristalina, you pronounce it AI. In the U.S. we now pronounce it SI.”

The Daily Sabah Newsletter

Keep up to date with what’s happening in Turkey,
it’s region and the world.

SIGN ME UP

You can unsubscribe at any time. By signing up you are agreeing to our Terms of Use and Privacy Policy.
This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.



Source link

Continue Reading

Economy

Anthropic asked to delay IPO over AI security concerns

Published

on


The supervisor of New York City’s pension funds, one of the largest in the United States, asked Anthropic to postpone its stock market debut until risks posed by its artificial intelligence technology are better controlled.

New York City Comptroller Mark Levine cited growing concerns about safety and security in a letter addressed to Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei, who has himself called for an industry-wide slowdown of developing advanced frontier models.

“Prudence should not only be shown with respect to the pace of the frontier, it should be also shown with respect to the timing of an IPO,” Levine wrote in the letter.

“I therefore urge Anthropic to pause the IPO process so that the company may fully address these key issues, ones which investors must also assess,” he continued.

Levine oversees the city’s financial entities, which include several pension funds for city workers, teachers, police and firefighters.

These funds provide retirement benefits to more than 750,000 people, and their assets under management totaled $330 billion at the end of August.

A small fraction of those assets, around $7 million, are currently exposed to Anthropic, the Comptroller’s office told Agence France-Presse (AFP).

However, that exposure will grow if Anthropic goes public because its shares would become included in several stock indices, including the Russell 3000, which New York City tracks for its own investments.

So the city’s funds would “automatically become long-term investors when the company is integrated into the index fund,” a spokesperson for the Comptroller’s office said.

On Wednesday, prosecutors from eight U.S. states also sued ChatGPT-maker OpenAI, a rival AI lab that could go public next year, for allegedly concealing certain risks and implementing inadequate safeguards.

The Daily Sabah Newsletter

Keep up to date with what’s happening in Turkey,
it’s region and the world.

SIGN ME UP

You can unsubscribe at any time. By signing up you are agreeing to our Terms of Use and Privacy Policy.
This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.



Source link

Continue Reading

Trending